November 2, 2009 the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) in the Money & Investing section reports “Dow Seesaws To an Advance of 76 Points.” “Stocks finished higher, fueled by upbeat economic data, but trading was volatile amid uncertainty about the strength of the recovery.”
The majority of Americans have money invested in “the Market” directly or through their 401(k), 403(b), IRA or other qualified account. Of course “the Market” is the term used to identify investments in Stocks, Bonds, Mutual Funds and other securities. With what has happen, is happening with the economy and “the Market” the question is should anyone have money in the market? Answer, yes but it depends.
Back 40 years ago when I was a lot younger I played poker and in one game, the last, lost $1,500. The fact I had won $1,600 already was of little solace. As with gambling, the immutable law of investing is: Risk and Reward always travel together. The wise gamblers bet no more than they can afford to lose; if this is true in gambling shouldn’t it be true in investing? Monday, Warren Buffett bought a railroad and commented he was “All In”. Does anyone believe he is playing without a safety net?
At any age having some money at risk is recommended but as we reach and enter the “Retirement Zone” our ability to recover from significant loss decreases. Investing as with gambling, if there is difference, without a safety net is only for the young and foolish. We all know “you don’t put all your eggs in one basket” and having all or a significant part of retirement funds at risk is counter to this word of wisdom. If you cannot afford to lose it, it should not be at risk. What is your safety net?
WSJ November 3, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIJA) reached 9789.44 which is an increase of 789 since July 09, but has been a very bumpy ride [WSJ 11.3.09 page C4 graph] with no assurance the market will get back to the high of October 2007. If you feel you are now locked in “until”, “as soon as” or “when” the market comes back you may be no different than those before us. Our great grandparents or grandparents may have said the same thing in 1929 but did not have a chance on average of breaking even until late 1954. From 1969 to 1982 the DJIA remained about the same. 2000 the DJAI reached 11, 723 and then the bottom dropped out hitting the bottom in late 2002. October 2007 the DIAJ reached another high of over 14,000 but by September 2008 it was at 11,500 and on the way down. October 31, 2009 the DJIA clawed its way back to 9712 after falling 249 that week and as the WSJ announced “For October, Blue-Chip Stocks were virtually unchanged….” Even so, some will make significant gains over the next several years in the market but most of these gains will be in new money. As very well pointed out by the WSJ (11.03.09 page R1; The Cruel Math of Big Losses) recouping investment losses require big gains “a fall of one-third requires a rebound of 50%. And if by half, you need double,” or a 100% return.”
As we move toward, enter or have entered the “The Retirement Zone”, we must have a safety net absolutely guaranteeing income for basic necessities at the very least. At this point in our life, common sense as well as practical and emotional health requires a safety net to guarantee our peace of mind and an absolutely secure retirement plan. This does not mean not having money at work, just a more prudent investment strategy and a written plan to chart the course.
The question becomes; how do I resolve my investment loss without remaining in the market, riding it out and hoping, is there an answer? Actually, with proper planning recovery, development of a guaranteed safety net and successful secure retirement is possible for most regardless of age. David Reindel in his book, “Don’t Die Broke” writes that when you realize;” One, you need to avoid risk altogether to ensure funds for the necessities of a lifetime in retirement. Two, when evaluating financial instruments associated with the marketplace, do the math and you will always seem to arrive at the same fundamental equation. Trust me. It is always the same: risk-free necessities + care free retirement = annuities.”
Regardless of what is often written in the financial press, today’s annuities are not the same as 10, 5 or even 3 years ago. Is there another product that will help you recover assets, guarantee income you cannot out live, allow you to participate in the market without risk, provide long tem care benefits and provide benefit to your heirs? If you and your financial advisor have not and are not considering annuities and their life time guaranteed income riders, WHY?
Hubert W. McMinn Jr.
Hubert McMinn is a retirement planning specialist working within Texas, USA and located in the Houston area. To better understand how to develop a better retirement foundation as well as a guaranteed plan of life time income, contact Hubert McMinn by email at hmcminn@plannedassets.com or for retirement planning ideas and concepts, visit him at: www.plannedassets.com.